Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Steel 52.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 75.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Kadri
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kadri
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Kadri
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Kadri
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
56.9% (320)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
71.4% (7)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
37.0% (73)
-2.2%
On power play, Steel has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Kadri
Steel
Home
46.5% (725)
55.9% (202)
Away
46.0% (739)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Kadri
Steel
P1
47.2%
55.5%
P2
44.9%
55.1%
P3
46.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |