Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 50.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 72.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Kadri
Monahan
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Kadri
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
52.4% (853)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
58.6% (174)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
46.5% (144)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
46.5% (725)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.0% (739)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
47.2%
53.7%
P2
44.9%
52.4%
P3
46.3%
51.6%
OT
51.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |