Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 60-44 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 62.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
60
(104 meetings)
44
60
Kadri
Monahan
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
23
Kadri
Monahan
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
14
15
Kadri
Monahan
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
17
22
Kadri
Monahan
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
53.7% (2,580)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
46.0% (766)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
49.1% (7,467)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
49.2%
50.9%
P2
48.8%
51.7%
P3
48.0%
51.0%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |