Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Monahan
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kadri
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
53.2% (823)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
55.3% (159)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
48.4% (95)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
46.6% (487)
54.6% (529)
Away
48.3% (433)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
52.7%
49.0%
P2
50.2%
55.4%
P3
40.2%
53.6%
OT
44.4%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |