Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.5% vs Monahan 53.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Kadri
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Monahan
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kadri
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (688)
53.8% (664)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
53.3% (137)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.0% (62)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Kadri shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Kadri
Monahan
Home
49.1% (407)
54.8% (405)
Away
49.9% (361)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Kadri
Monahan
P1
56.4%
49.6%
P2
51.7%
53.9%
P3
41.4%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |