Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Thompson 41.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kadri
Thompson
Last 8: Kadri 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Kadri
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Kadri
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
40.6% (801)
+9.6%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
44.7% (103)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
31.0% (71)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
48.5% (557)
43.2% (507)
Away
50.8% (620)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
49.5%
37.7%
P2
51.3%
43.4%
P3
47.8%
39.5%
OT
63.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |