Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 89.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 73.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 81.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Kadri
Thompson
Last 10: Kadri 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
10
4
Kadri
Thompson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Kadri
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
10
5
Kadri
Thompson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
42.9% (3,521)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
46.8% (372)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
33.6% (265)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
49.1% (7,467)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
49.2%
44.5%
P2
48.8%
43.6%
P3
48.0%
40.2%
OT
49.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |