Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Thompson 44.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 84.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kadri
Thompson
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Kadri
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
44.6% (709)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
41.5% (53)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
35.1% (97)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
48.3% (621)
45.5% (426)
Away
49.6% (589)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
48.1%
48.5%
P2
48.9%
43.8%
P3
49.8%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |