Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Thompson 45.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 57.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kadri
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
44.9% (642)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
47.9% (94)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
33.3% (33)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
46.6% (487)
46.0% (391)
Away
48.3% (433)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
52.7%
48.1%
P2
50.2%
44.9%
P3
40.2%
41.2%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |