Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.5% vs Thompson 46.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 65.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kadri
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (688)
46.1% (484)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
48.4% (91)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
30.0% (20)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
49.1% (407)
47.9% (313)
Away
49.9% (361)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
56.4%
50.5%
P2
51.7%
44.6%
P3
41.4%
42.3%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |