Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Novak 46.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Kadri
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kadri
Novak
Last 5: Kadri 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
43.2% (118)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
47.8% (23)
+2.8%
On even strength, Kadri has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Kadri shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Kadri
Novak
Home
48.5% (557)
50.7% (71)
Away
50.8% (620)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Kadri
Novak
P1
49.5%
44.7%
P2
51.3%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |