Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Novak 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 90.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 83.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Kadri
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Kadri
Novak
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
2
Kadri
Novak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Novak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
42.1% (1,539)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
51.9% (133)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
50.0% (2)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Kadri
Novak
Home
49.1% (7,467)
45.3% (814)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Kadri
Novak
P1
49.2%
43.9%
P2
48.8%
42.8%
P3
48.0%
41.7%
OT
49.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:57 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |