Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Novak 43.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 61.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 60.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Kadri
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kadri
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Kadri
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
40.7% (460)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
61.5% (39)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
0.0% (1)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Kadri
Novak
Home
48.3% (621)
47.0% (236)
Away
49.6% (589)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Kadri
Novak
P1
48.1%
43.1%
P2
48.9%
43.1%
P3
49.8%
40.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |