Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Zegras 39.2% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 92.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 88.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kadri
Zegras
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kadri
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
2
Kadri
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
38.6% (1,669)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
38.5% (148)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
28.6% (7)
+12.4%
On power play, Kadri has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
49.1% (7,467)
39.9% (882)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
49.2%
40.2%
P2
48.8%
38.0%
P3
48.0%
37.7%
OT
49.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |