Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.8% vs Zegras 40.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 92.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 87.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kadri
Zegras
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kadri
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
2
Kadri
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (12,377)
39.5% (1,582)
+8.8%
Power Play
53.1% (1,873)
41.4% (133)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
28.6% (7)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,267).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
49.3% (7,387)
40.6% (833)
Away
48.2% (7,159)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
49.3%
41.2%
P2
48.9%
39.1%
P3
48.1%
38.5%
OT
49.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |