Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Zegras 42.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 83.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kadri
Zegras
Last 6: Kadri 5-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
41.1% (559)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
50.0% (12)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
50.0% (2)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
47.4% (641)
45.7% (247)
Away
47.6% (593)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
46.9%
45.5%
P2
49.5%
36.8%
P3
46.2%
41.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |