Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Zegras 43.3% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zegras 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 59.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kadri
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
39.8% (128)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
22.2% (9)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
0.0% (1)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
48.3% (621)
29.7% (74)
Away
49.6% (589)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
48.1%
40.7%
P2
48.9%
35.1%
P3
49.8%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |