Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 53.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 58.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kadri
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
36.5% (156)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
40.7% (27)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
0.0% (3)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
46.5% (725)
38.9% (113)
Away
46.0% (739)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
47.2%
40.0%
P2
44.9%
38.1%
P3
46.3%
31.6%
OT
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |