Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.5% vs Johnston 48.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Kadri
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kadri
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kadri
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (688)
47.2% (458)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
50.9% (55)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
51.6% (31)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kadri is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Kadri shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnston
Home
49.1% (407)
47.7% (243)
Away
49.9% (361)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Kadri
Johnston
P1
56.4%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
48.2%
P3
41.4%
48.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |