Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Johnston 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 83.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kadri
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kadri
Johnston
Last 6: Kadri 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kadri
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
50.7% (552)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
61.5% (13)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
43.5% (69)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnston
Home
48.3% (621)
50.3% (342)
Away
49.6% (589)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Kadri
Johnston
P1
48.1%
54.4%
P2
48.9%
47.2%
P3
49.8%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |