Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.1%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Johnston 49.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 66.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kadri
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Kadri
Johnston
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
9
2
Kadri
Johnston
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
4
10
Kadri
Johnston
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Kadri
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
49.3% (2,189)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
52.6% (173)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.7% (237)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnston
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Kadri
Johnston
P1
49.2%
50.1%
P2
48.8%
48.3%
P3
48.0%
48.8%
OT
49.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |