Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 65.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Kadri
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kadri
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kadri
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
42.5% (318)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
55.6% (9)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
62.5% (8)
-35.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnston
Home
47.4% (641)
40.5% (168)
Away
47.6% (593)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Kadri
Johnston
P1
46.9%
46.9%
P2
49.5%
40.4%
P3
46.2%
41.9%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |