Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 59.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kadri
Gourde
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kadri
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Kadri
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
49.1% (847)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
79.5% (44)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
39.5% (81)
-12.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
47.4% (641)
50.1% (491)
Away
47.6% (593)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
46.9%
54.7%
P2
49.5%
45.0%
P3
46.2%
49.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |