Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 75.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kadri
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Kadri
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
47.2% (654)
+0.2%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
45.0% (20)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
32.2% (87)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
46.6% (487)
44.1% (322)
Away
48.3% (433)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
52.7%
42.4%
P2
50.2%
49.8%
P3
40.2%
44.3%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |