Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.2%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Kadri
Gourde
Last 10: Kadri 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
14
7
Kadri
Gourde
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
7
Kadri
Gourde
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
9
10
Kadri
Gourde
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
57.4% (376)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
39.9% (554)
+1.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
49.2%
49.9%
P2
48.8%
47.4%
P3
48.0%
47.5%
OT
49.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |