Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Kadri
Gourde
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
4
Kadri
Gourde
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kadri
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
48.0% (914)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
54.2% (48)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
43.9% (123)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
48.3% (621)
50.2% (512)
Away
49.6% (589)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
48.1%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
45.3%
P3
49.8%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |