Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 35.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 89.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 68.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Wennberg
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Wennberg
Dowd
Last 6: Wennberg 1-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Wennberg
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
55.2% (625)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
57.1% (7)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
38.2% (220)
+3.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Wennberg is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Wennberg shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Dowd
Home
46.1% (661)
53.7% (445)
Away
45.1% (714)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Wennberg
Dowd
P1
48.5%
48.8%
P2
42.6%
49.3%
P3
46.3%
54.0%
OT
38.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |