Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 91.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 78.6%
Neutral zone
Lundell 78.5%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Lundell
Dowd
Last 7: Lundell 0-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Lundell
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Lundell
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Lundell
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
55.4% (771)
-9.6%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
57.1% (7)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
45.5% (165)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
46.3% (434)
58.2% (462)
Away
42.4% (314)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
46.6%
55.6%
P2
39.9%
50.5%
P3
47.1%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |