Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Jenner
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Jenner
Dowd
Last 9: Jenner 0-9 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Jenner
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Jenner
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Jenner
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
55.4% (771)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
57.1% (7)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
45.5% (165)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jenner is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Jenner shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dowd
Home
53.2% (609)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.0% (589)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Jenner
Dowd
P1
49.7%
55.6%
P2
53.6%
50.5%
P3
56.5%
53.9%
OT
65.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |