Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 66.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 73.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Sillinger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sillinger
Dowd
Last 5: Sillinger 5-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
52.2% (835)
-5.7%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
60.0% (10)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
44.0% (350)
-0.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dowd
Home
48.7% (339)
51.5% (619)
Away
43.4% (311)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Sillinger
Dowd
P1
46.3%
51.7%
P2
47.9%
51.6%
P3
44.0%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | OT | 00:56 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | OT | 00:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |