Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Dowd 55.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 93.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 80.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Hayes
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Hayes
Dowd
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
2
Hayes
Dowd
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
12
Hayes
Dowd
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Hayes
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
58.2% (617)
-9.5%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
71.4% (7)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
47.2% (144)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dowd
Home
50.6% (237)
58.4% (399)
Away
47.3% (241)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Hayes
Dowd
P1
43.9%
59.0%
P2
47.3%
56.1%
P3
55.9%
54.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |