Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Foligno 51.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Dowd
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Dowd
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
58.1% (31)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (2)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
50.0% (6)
-4.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Dowd
Foligno
Home
58.2% (462)
56.3% (16)
Away
49.3% (481)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Dowd
Foligno
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
50.5%
66.7%
P3
53.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |