Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Foligno 52.3% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 90.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dowd
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
52.0% (50)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (21)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
0.0% (1)
+38.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Dowd
Foligno
Home
53.7% (445)
51.2% (41)
Away
47.7% (407)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Dowd
Foligno
P1
48.8%
55.6%
P2
49.3%
48.0%
P3
54.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%