Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 96.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Dowd
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
53.4% (249)
-4.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.2% (154)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
40.6% (32)
+3.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Dowd
Foligno
Home
46.3% (492)
57.3% (225)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Dowd
Foligno
P1
49.1%
53.0%
P2
48.2%
51.8%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |