Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 89.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Dowd
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
48.7% (495)
+3.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
56.9% (65)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
43.8% (144)
+0.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Dowd
Foligno
Home
51.5% (619)
49.6% (359)
Away
48.1% (576)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Dowd
Foligno
P1
51.7%
46.7%
P2
51.6%
52.7%
P3
47.0%
46.7%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |