Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 92.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 67.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
2
Dowd
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Dowd
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
51.3% (904)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
49.8% (265)
-49.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
36.8% (57)
+4.8%
On power play, Suzuki has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
48.6% (451)
50.6% (603)
Away
49.5% (416)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
52.3%
P2
47.3%
47.5%
P3
51.4%
51.1%
OT
30.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |