Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Dowd
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
0
Dowd
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
1
Dowd
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
50.3% (1,075)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.3% (219)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
43.1% (116)
+2.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
58.2% (462)
53.6% (711)
Away
49.3% (481)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
55.6%
48.5%
P2
50.5%
51.7%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |