Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 95.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
8
Dowd
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
0
Dowd
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
52.4% (981)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.7% (304)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
36.4% (33)
+7.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
51.5% (619)
53.2% (645)
Away
48.1% (576)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
51.7%
48.9%
P2
51.6%
51.5%
P3
47.0%
54.9%
OT
22.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |