Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 94.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
Dowd
Suzuki
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
1
Dowd
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
3
Dowd
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
47.0% (1,066)
+8.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.5% (204)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
46.6% (131)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
53.7% (445)
49.4% (686)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
48.8%
45.6%
P2
49.3%
46.9%
P3
54.0%
49.8%
OT
44.4%
38.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |