Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 46-45 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
45
(91 meetings)
46
45
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
32
Dowd
Suzuki
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
28
5
Dowd
Suzuki
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
14
8
Dowd
Suzuki
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
49.4% (6,327)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
50.7% (1,338)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
43.6% (456)
+0.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
51.9% (3,897)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
51.7%
48.8%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
50.3%
50.2%
OT
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |