Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Roy 48.9% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Roy 76.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dowd
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
49.5% (746)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.7% (75)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
42.7% (110)
+2.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Dowd
Roy
Home
58.2% (462)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.3% (481)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Dowd
Roy
P1
55.6%
51.1%
P2
50.5%
44.6%
P3
53.9%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%