Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Roy 47.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 75.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Dowd
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
47.5% (617)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
39.6% (53)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
46.4% (97)
-2.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Dowd
Roy
Home
46.3% (492)
47.2% (398)
Away
49.8% (532)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Dowd
Roy
P1
49.1%
48.6%
P2
48.2%
48.8%
P3
46.9%
43.9%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |