Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Roy 84.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Dowd
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
48.3% (633)
+6.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.1% (48)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
43.7% (87)
-5.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Dowd
Roy
Home
53.7% (445)
50.8% (376)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Dowd
Roy
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
49.3%
43.5%
P3
54.0%
46.4%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%