Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 89.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 51.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Dowd
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dowd
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dowd
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dowd
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
45.5% (501)
+9.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (20)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
37.1% (35)
+1.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Krebs is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Dowd
Krebs
Home
53.7% (445)
43.9% (285)
Away
47.7% (407)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Dowd
Krebs
P1
48.8%
45.4%
P2
49.3%
50.9%
P3
54.0%
39.7%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | OT | 01:55 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |