Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.0%). Look for Krebs on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Krebs 49.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 91.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 52.4%
Neutral zone
Krebs 54.0%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Dowd
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dowd
Krebs
Last 8: Dowd 3-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Dowd
Krebs
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
49.5% (560)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
52.6% (38)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
43.3% (67)
+0.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Dowd
Krebs
Home
51.5% (619)
49.4% (314)
Away
48.1% (576)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Dowd
Krebs
P1
51.7%
47.0%
P2
51.6%
50.5%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |