Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Krebs 46.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 88.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Dowd
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Krebs
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dowd
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dowd
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
47.2% (542)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
54.2% (24)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
31.3% (48)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Dowd
Krebs
Home
46.3% (492)
45.5% (312)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Dowd
Krebs
P1
49.1%
46.6%
P2
48.2%
42.7%
P3
46.9%
48.6%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |