Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 89.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Dowd
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Dowd
Krebs
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
5
Dowd
Krebs
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
1
Dowd
Krebs
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
3
Dowd
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
46.0% (2,159)
+6.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
52.5% (99)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
38.6% (171)
+5.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Dowd
Krebs
Home
51.9% (3,897)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Dowd
Krebs
P1
51.7%
45.9%
P2
50.4%
46.4%
P3
50.3%
44.8%
OT
45.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 15, 2023 | OT | 01:55 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |