Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 97.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 89.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Dowd
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Dowd
Hartman
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
7
Dowd
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
1
Dowd
Hartman
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
44.8% (936)
+10.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.4% (154)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
33.3% (54)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hartman
Home
58.2% (462)
47.4% (568)
Away
49.3% (481)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Dowd
Hartman
P1
55.6%
47.2%
P2
50.5%
43.4%
P3
53.9%
43.8%
OT
75.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OT | 00:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |