Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hartman 44.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 80.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Dowd
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
42.6% (495)
+12.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
38.5% (26)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
48.8% (43)
-10.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hartman
Home
53.7% (445)
43.4% (288)
Away
47.7% (407)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Dowd
Hartman
P1
48.8%
43.1%
P2
49.3%
43.4%
P3
54.0%
42.0%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |