Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Dowd
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
47.1% (649)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
47.1% (68)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
45.2% (73)
-1.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hartman
Home
46.3% (492)
46.5% (361)
Away
49.8% (532)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Dowd
Hartman
P1
49.1%
45.1%
P2
48.2%
44.4%
P3
46.9%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%