Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Steel 46.6% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Steel 87.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Dowd
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
44.6% (177)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
44.8% (29)
-0.8%
On power play, Steel has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Dowd
Steel
Home
46.3% (492)
46.7% (90)
Away
49.8% (532)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Dowd
Steel
P1
49.1%
47.8%
P2
48.2%
47.0%
P3
46.9%
41.3%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%