Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Steel 52.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 85.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Dowd
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dowd
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
56.9% (320)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
71.4% (7)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
37.0% (73)
+7.0%
On power play, Steel has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Dowd
Steel
Home
51.5% (619)
55.9% (202)
Away
48.1% (576)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Dowd
Steel
P1
51.7%
55.5%
P2
51.6%
55.1%
P3
47.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sam Steel |